 
          41
        
        
          | 4 | 2011
        
        
          Klinisk Biokemi i Norden
        
        
          (
        
        
          Fortsætter side 42)
        
        
          estimate” and a surrounding uncertainty interval.
        
        
          This is the major difference and advantage compared
        
        
          to the concept of “total error” which retains a known
        
        
          bias. The reader is referred to ISO-JCGM “GUM” [4],
        
        
          a document from EURACHEM [5] and a recommen-
        
        
          dation from CLSI [6] for details on estimation and use
        
        
          of uncertainty.
        
        
          
            Precision
          
        
        
          Precision cannot be measured but imprecision can.
        
        
          Imprecision is estimated from repeated measurements.
        
        
          In the clinical laboratory it is important to consider
        
        
          the “within run” and the “between run” variation. The
        
        
          combined within and between variations represent the
        
        
          combined (total) laboratory variation.
        
        
          An experimental design for verification of impre-
        
        
          cision claims (EP15) [3] requires that at least five
        
        
          observations are made within each at least five runs
        
        
          (
        
        
          group). Examples of input and output tables are
        
        
          shown in Tables 1 and 2.
        
        
          The identification of variations is based on analysis
        
        
          of variance (ANOVA), readily available in commonly
        
        
          used spread-sheet programs and virtually in all stan-
        
        
          dard statistics packages.
        
        
          The ANOVA is designed to reveal a difference
        
        
          between a set of groups and can be understood as an
        
        
          extension of Student’s independent
        
        
          t
        
        
          -
        
        
          test. In our appli-
        
        
          cation it is used for “analysis of variance components”.
        
        
          The calculations can be summarized with these
        
        
          assumptions:
        
        
          The
        
        
          MS Within Runs
        
        
          (
        
        
          MS
        
        
          w
        
        
          )
        
        
          is equal to the within
        
        
          run variance i.e. the mean of the variances of the indi-
        
        
          vidual runs. The
        
        
          MS Between Runs
        
        
          (
        
        
          MS
        
        
          b
        
        
          ),
        
        
          contains
        
        
          a component of the within run variation and needs
        
        
          correction according to (2) to yield the “pure” between
        
        
          run variance (
        
        
          Var
        
        
          b
        
        
          ):
        
        
          ������������������������������������������������(2)
        
        
          where
        
        
          n
        
        
          0
        
        
          is the number of results in each group. In case
        
        
          the groups contain different numbers of observations
        
        
          then the
        
        
          n
        
        
          0
        
        
          needs to be estimated differently
        
        
          1
        
        
          .
        
        
          The combined variance, i.e. the within laboratory
        
        
          or intra-laboratory standard deviation (
        
        
          sd
        
        
          L
        
        
          )
        
        
          is then
        
        
          ����������������������������������(3)
        
        
          It should be recognized that the number of observa-
        
        
          tions is critical for the reliability of the results. The
        
        
          minimum number in EP15 will give a reliable value
        
        
          of the
        
        
          MS
        
        
          w
        
        
          whereas the
        
        
          MS
        
        
          b
        
        
          and thus the
        
        
          sd
        
        
          L
        
        
          would
        
        
          benefit from more runs.
        
        
          Under certain conditions the
        
        
          MS
        
        
          w
        
        
          can be less than
        
        
          MS
        
        
          b
        
        
          and thus
        
        
          V
        
        
          arb
        
        
          negative (2). Since this is not pos-
        
        
          sible the
        
        
          V
        
        
          arb
        
        
          is then conventionally set to
        
        
          MS
        
        
          w
        
        
          .
        
        
          It is not unusual that one or several results in a
        
        
          series of measurements deviate from the majority
        
        
          and may be suspected as an “outlier” but still belong
        
        
          to the distribution of which we only see a small part.
        
        
          As a first check it is recommended to perform the
        
        
          calculations with and without the suspected outlier. If
        
        
          the difference is not too big it is advised to retain the
        
        
          value. Although there are statistical means to identify
        
        
          outliers e.g. Grubbs test, removal of unexplained out-
        
        
          liers should be considered carefully.
        
        
          1
        
        
          where N is the total number of results,
        
        
          n
        
        
          i
        
        
          is the number of results in each run and
        
        
          k
        
        
          is the number
        
        
          of runs. If the number of observations is the same in all runs
        
        
          this becomes equal to the arithmetic mean. In many cases
        
        
          the difference between the n0 and the arithmetic mean is
        
        
          negligible.
        
        
          
            Table 1
          
        
        
          .
        
        
          Results of a precision experiment.	
        
        
          
            Run 1 Run 2 Run 3 Run 4 Run 5
          
        
        
          
            Result 1
          
        
        
          140,00 138,00 143,00 143,00 142,00
        
        
          
            Result 2
          
        
        
          140,00 139,00 145,00 143,00 143,00
        
        
          
            Result 3
          
        
        
          141,00 137,00 149,00 143,00 142,00
        
        
          
            Result 4
          
        
        
          140,00 139,00 141,00 142,00 143,00
        
        
          
            Result 5
          
        
        
          140,00 138,00 144,00 142,00 141,00
        
        
          
            Table 2
          
        
        
          .
        
        
          Output table.
        
        
          SS
        
        
          is the “Sum of squares”,
        
        
          df
        
        
          degrees
        
        
          of freedom and
        
        
          MS
        
        
          Mean square.
        
        
          ANOVA
        
        
          Source of Variation
        
        
          ss
        
        
          df
        
        
          MS
        
        
          Between Runs
        
        
          113.44
        
        
          4
        
        
          28.36
        
        
          Within Runs
        
        
          42.8
        
        
          20
        
        
          2.14
        
        
          Total
        
        
          156.24
        
        
          24